Flood Outlook Statement
A Flood Outlook Statement is issued to raise awareness. Based on weather forecasts for heavy rain, snowmelt or high wind, a change in conditions on local waterways is possible.
Lower Trent Conservation advises municipalities and the public that a Flood Outlook Statement has been issued for the Lower Trent Watershed region (area stretching from Grafton to Quinte West and from Lake Ontario to Rice Lake and east to Centre Hastings). It is important to note that during this time high flows, unsafe banks or other factors could be dangerous for recreational users such as anglers, hikers, children, pets, etc. Nuisance flooding for some may occur.
Stream flows and levels across the Lower Trent watershed region are average or slightly above average for this time of year. A large winter storm system is forecast to move into the region beginning tonight and throughout the next 36 hours with the potential to bring upwards of 25 to 40 mm of precipitation, mostly in the form of rain. Temperatures will be in the warm range during the passage of this low-pressure system (Wednesday to Thursday) in the high single digits and night-time above or around zero degrees. The precipitation along with frozen ground conditions and snowmelt from the increased temperatures have the potential for higher flows on local streams with nuisance flooding in low-lying areas. Widespread flooding is not anticipated.
While the potential dangers presented by rivers, small streams and open ditches never cease to exist, they are of particular concern at this time of the year. Water currents are strong and temperatures dangerously cold. Parents and caregivers are advised to keep children and pets away from all waterways. Areas around dams, culverts and bridges should be avoided at all times.
LTC staff will be monitoring the situation and update as necessary. Lower Trent Conservation monitors water levels and weather forecasts closely as part of its flood forecasting and warning program. Daily water level updates are available at www.LTC.on.ca. If you have concerns about water levels, please contact Lower Trent Conservation at (613) 394-4829.
This Flood Outlook Statement will be in effect until (or updated before) Monday February 21, 2022.